Main Article Content
Abstract
High-skilled migration in Indonesia can potentially reduce regional inequality by driving economic growth in destinations. However, Indonesia's lax internal migration laws lead to highly skilled people migrating to developed provinces, increasing regional disparity. This study focuses on getting the overview of high-skilled migrants, forming a Public Facilities Accessibility Index (PFAI) using factor analysis PCA, and analyzing determinants of high-skilled migration flows with the ZINB model using a gravity model approach. The findings show that the phenomenon of interprovincial high-skilled migration in Indonesia is "Java Centric." Most highly skilled migrants are aged 21–35 years. Economic reasons are the main reason for moving. Provinces of Java Island have better public facilities than the others. High-skilled population size in origin and destination, geographic distance, urban unemployment rate in destination, worker’s wage in origin and destination, proportion of agricultural workers in origin, migrant stock, and PFAI in origin influence the flow of Indonesian high-skilled migration. The policy implications of these findings include maximizing the rural agricultural sector, raising labor wages, expanding access to public facilities, and creating job opportunities to either retain highly skilled individuals in the underdeveloped province or draw in highly skilled migrants to achieve regional equality.
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References
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- Parsons, C. R., Rojon, S., Rose, L., & Samanani, F. (2020). High skilled migration through the lens of policy. Migration Studies, 8(3), 279-306. https://doi.org/10.1093/migration/mny037
- Pirani, E., Marino, M. F., & Petrucci, A. (2019). Correlates of inter-districts migrations in Tanzania. A gravity-type modeling approach. Statistica, 79(2), 201–221. https://doi.org/10.6092/issn. 1973-2201/8538
- Piras, R. (2017). A long-run analysis of push and pull factors of internal migration in Italy. Estimation of a gravity model with human capital using homogeneous and heterogeneous approaches. Papers in Regional Science, 96(3), 571–602. https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12211
- Piyapromdee, S. (2021). The Impact of Immigration on Wages, Internal Migration, and Welfare. Review of Economic Studies, 88(1), 406–453. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdaa029
- Rustam, Hwihanus, Bayu, M., & Darmono. (2023). The Role of Investment , Infrastructure , Migration of Employment Opportunities ; Study Literature Review. International Journal of Economics, Business and Innovation Research, 02(04), 562–574
- Sahminan, S., Hermansyah, O., & Rakhman, R. N. (2019). Construction of infrastructure index for Indonesia. Studies in Economics and Finance, 38(2), 173–188. https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-09-2018-0299
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- Setyanti, A. M., Ashar, K., & Susilo, S. (2021). The Effect of Individual and Regional Characteristics on Commuting (Study on Gerbangkertosusila Area, East Java). International Journal of Social and Local Economic Governance, 7(1), 8–16. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.ijleg.2021.007.01.2
- Shen, J., & Liu, Y. (2016). Skilled and less-skilled interregional migration in China: A comparative analysis of spatial patterns and the decision to migrate in 2000-2005. Habitat International, 57, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2016.06.007
- Shilpi, F., Sangraula, P., & Li, Y. (2014). Voting with Their Feet ? Access to Infrastructure and Migration in Nepal. Policy Research Working Paper, 7047(September).
- Simpson, N. B. (2022). Demographic and economic determinants of migration. IZA World of Labor, July, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.15185/izawol.373.v2
- Stillwell, J. (2005). Inter-regional Migration Modelling: A Review. 45th Congress of the European Regional Science Association, 29–48. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035306152.00009
- Tjiptoherijanto, P. (2017). Mobilitas Penduduk Dan Pembangunan Ekonomi. Warta Demografi 30(3), 1-35.
- Uprety, D. (2018). Skilled migration and health outcomes in developing countries. International Journal of Health Economics and Management, 19(1), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10754-018-9242-3.
- Uprety, D. (2019). Does Skilled Migration Cause Income Inequality in the Source Country? International Migration, 58(4), 85–100. https://doi.org/10.1111/imig.12661
- Urbański, M. (2022). Comparing Push and Pull Factors Affecting Migration. Economies, 10(1), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10010021
- Wajdi, N., Adioetomo, S. M., & Mulder, C. H. (2017). Gravity models of interregional migration in Indonesia. Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, 53(3), 309–332. https://doi.org/10.1080/ 00074918.2017.1298719
- Zipf, G. K. (1946). The P1P2/D Hypothesis: on Intercity Movement of Persons the P1*P2 Hypothesis: on the Intercity D Movement of Persons. American Sociological Association, 11(6), 677–686. https://doi.org/10.2307/2087063
References
Aslany, M., Carling, J., Mjelva, M. B., & Sommerfelt, T. (2021). Systematic review of determinants of migration aspirations. In QuantMig Project Deliverable D2.2. (Issue 870299). University of Southampton. https://www.quantmig.eu/res/files/QuantMig D22 2021-01-29.pdf.
Atmani M, B., Pitoyo, A. J., & Rofi, A. (2021). Faktor Individual Dan Kontekstual Pada Migrasi Risen Di Indonesia: Analisis Data Survei Penduduk Antar Sensus 2015. Jurnal Kependudukan Indonesia, 15(2), 183-196. https://doi.org/10.14203/jki.v15i2.432
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2022a). Keadaan Angkatan Kerja di Indonesia Agustus 2022. Badan Pusat Statistik.
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2022b). Keadaan Pekerja di Indonesia Agustus 2022. Badan Pusat Statistik.
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2023a). Penduduk Indonesia Hasil Long Form Sensus Penduduk 2020. Badan Pusat Statistik.
Badan Pusat Statistik. (2023b). Statistik Migrasi Indonesia Hasil Long Form Sensus Penduduk 2020. Badan Pusat Statistik.
Bayraktar, Y., & Özyılmaz, A. (2017). The Role of Internal Migration on Regional Inequality: Turkey Example. Turkish Journal of Middle Eastern Studies, 9–30. https://doi.org/10.26513/tocd. 317663
Botezat, A., & Ramos, R. (2020). Physicians ’ brain drain - a gravity model of migration flows. Globalization and Health, 16(7), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12992-019-0536-0
Czaika, M., & Parsons, C. R. (2017). The Gravity of High-Skilled Migration Policies. Demography, 54(2), 603–630. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-017-0559-1.
Falco, C., Galeotti, M., & Olper, A. (2019). Climate change and migration : Is agriculture the main channel ? Global Environmental Change, 59(September), 101995. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.gloenvcha.2019.101995
Franc, S., Časni, A. Č., & Barišic, A. (2019). Determinants of Migration following the EU Enlargement: A Panel Data Analysis. South East European Journal of Economics and Business, 14(2), 13–22. https://doi.org/10.2478/jeb-2019-0010
Greenwood, M. J. (1975). Research on Internal Migration in the United States: A Survey. Journal of Economic Literature, 13(2), 397–433.
Gu, H., & Shen, T. (2021). Modelling skilled and less-skilled internal migrations in China , 2010 – 2015 : Application of an eigenvector spatial filtering hurdle gravity approach various factors besides the gravity factors into gravity models. Population, Space and Place, 27(6), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.2439
Jandová, M., & Paleta, T. (2015). Gravity models of internal migration - The czech case study. Review of Economic Perspectives, 15(1), 3–14. https://doi.org/10.1515/revecp-2015-0008
Kerr, S. P., Kerr, W., Ozden, C., & Parsons, C. (2017). High-Skilled Migration and Agglomeration. Annual Review of Economics, 9, 201–234. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-063016-103705
Khoeri, A., & Atmanti, H. D. (2021). Analysis of Internal Migration Determinants in Indonesia. Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan), 6(2), 126–143. https://doi.org/10.31002/rep.v6i2.3283
Komaruddin, & Sakinah. (2022). Analisis Migrasi Dalam Upaya Meningkatkan Kesejahteraan Ekonomi Masyarakat Madura Perspektif Ekonomi Syariah (Studi Kasus: Pedagang Asal Madura di Pasar Gadang Kota Malang). Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Perbankan, 3(1), 314–332. https://doi.org/ https://doi.org/10.32806/ivi.v3i1.101
Krasulja, N., Vasiljevic-Blagojevic, M., & Radojevic, I. (2016). Brain-drain: The positive and negative aspects of the phenomenon. Ekonomika, 62(3), 131–142. https://doi.org/10.5937/ekonomika 1603131k
Krisnandita, I. W. (2023). Determinants of Migration Flows in Highly Skilled Migrants Interprovince in Indonesia. Populasi, 31(1), 13-30. https://doi.org/10.22146/jp.84371
Lee, E. S. (1966). A Theory of Migration. Demography, 3(1), 47–57.
Liu, Y., & Shen, J. (2014). Spatial patterns and determinants of skilled internal migration in China, 2000-2005. Papers in Regional Science, 93(4), 749–771. https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12014
Mardainis, Junadhi, & Jamaris, M. (2019). Analisa Faktor Principal Component Analysis dan Common Factor Analysis untuk Menentukan Minat Calon Mahasiswa Masuk STMIK Amik Riau. Satin - Sains Dan Teknologi Informasi, 5(2), 82–89. https://doi.org/10.33372/stn.v5i2.536
Nugroho, Y. D. (2018). Penerapan Regresi Logistik Hierarki Biner Untuk Menentukan Determinan Kemiskinan Di Bengkulu Dengan Menggunakan Indeks Aksesibiltas Sarana Umum (IASU) Sebagai Variabel Kentekstual. Jurnal Statistika Universitas Muhammadiyah Semarang, 6(1), 40-48. https://doi.org/10.26714/jsunimus.6.1.2018.%25p
Oliinyk, O., Bilan, Y., Mishchuk, H., Akimov, O., & Vasa, L. (2021). The impact of migration of highly skilled workers on the country’s competitiveness and economic growth. Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 17(3), 7–19. https://doi.org/10.14254/1800-5845/2021.17-3.1
Pardede, E. L., McCann, P., & Venhorst, V. A. (2020). Internal migration in Indonesia: new insights from longitudinal data. Asian Population Studies, 16(3), 287–309. https://doi.org/10.1080/ 17441730.2020.1774139
Parsons, C. R., Rojon, S., Rose, L., & Samanani, F. (2020). High skilled migration through the lens of policy. Migration Studies, 8(3), 279-306. https://doi.org/10.1093/migration/mny037
Pirani, E., Marino, M. F., & Petrucci, A. (2019). Correlates of inter-districts migrations in Tanzania. A gravity-type modeling approach. Statistica, 79(2), 201–221. https://doi.org/10.6092/issn. 1973-2201/8538
Piras, R. (2017). A long-run analysis of push and pull factors of internal migration in Italy. Estimation of a gravity model with human capital using homogeneous and heterogeneous approaches. Papers in Regional Science, 96(3), 571–602. https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12211
Piyapromdee, S. (2021). The Impact of Immigration on Wages, Internal Migration, and Welfare. Review of Economic Studies, 88(1), 406–453. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdaa029
Rustam, Hwihanus, Bayu, M., & Darmono. (2023). The Role of Investment , Infrastructure , Migration of Employment Opportunities ; Study Literature Review. International Journal of Economics, Business and Innovation Research, 02(04), 562–574
Sahminan, S., Hermansyah, O., & Rakhman, R. N. (2019). Construction of infrastructure index for Indonesia. Studies in Economics and Finance, 38(2), 173–188. https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-09-2018-0299
Sari, D. K., & Tanur, E. (2023). Analisis Determinan dan Pola Migrasi Internal Penduduk Provinsi Kepulauan Riau. Jurnal Archipelago, 2(2), 157–169. https://doi.org/10.69853/ja.v2i02.40
Setyanti, A. M., Ashar, K., & Susilo, S. (2021). The Effect of Individual and Regional Characteristics on Commuting (Study on Gerbangkertosusila Area, East Java). International Journal of Social and Local Economic Governance, 7(1), 8–16. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.ijleg.2021.007.01.2
Shen, J., & Liu, Y. (2016). Skilled and less-skilled interregional migration in China: A comparative analysis of spatial patterns and the decision to migrate in 2000-2005. Habitat International, 57, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2016.06.007
Shilpi, F., Sangraula, P., & Li, Y. (2014). Voting with Their Feet ? Access to Infrastructure and Migration in Nepal. Policy Research Working Paper, 7047(September).
Simpson, N. B. (2022). Demographic and economic determinants of migration. IZA World of Labor, July, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.15185/izawol.373.v2
Stillwell, J. (2005). Inter-regional Migration Modelling: A Review. 45th Congress of the European Regional Science Association, 29–48. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035306152.00009
Tjiptoherijanto, P. (2017). Mobilitas Penduduk Dan Pembangunan Ekonomi. Warta Demografi 30(3), 1-35.
Uprety, D. (2018). Skilled migration and health outcomes in developing countries. International Journal of Health Economics and Management, 19(1), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10754-018-9242-3.
Uprety, D. (2019). Does Skilled Migration Cause Income Inequality in the Source Country? International Migration, 58(4), 85–100. https://doi.org/10.1111/imig.12661
Urbański, M. (2022). Comparing Push and Pull Factors Affecting Migration. Economies, 10(1), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10010021
Wajdi, N., Adioetomo, S. M., & Mulder, C. H. (2017). Gravity models of interregional migration in Indonesia. Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, 53(3), 309–332. https://doi.org/10.1080/ 00074918.2017.1298719
Zipf, G. K. (1946). The P1P2/D Hypothesis: on Intercity Movement of Persons the P1*P2 Hypothesis: on the Intercity D Movement of Persons. American Sociological Association, 11(6), 677–686. https://doi.org/10.2307/2087063