Article Sidebar

Vol. 23 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Submitted
June 4, 2025
Accepted
June 26, 2025
Published
June 30, 2025
Download
pdf
Statistic
Read Counter : 0 Download : 0

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Main Article Content

Abstract

This study evaluates the economic impact of the Jakarta–Bandung High-Speed Rail (JB-HSR) project, a key strategic initiative for promoting balanced and sustainable regional economic growth in Indonesia. We analyze four major regional indicators: Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), investment, open unemployment, and poverty levels. Employing a Difference-in-Differences (DID) approach with panel data from 2013 to 2023, our findings reveal that the JB-HSR 's presence significantly increased GRDP and investment, and contributed to a decline in open unemployment within the directly affected regions. However, the project has not yet led to a statistically significant reduction in poverty, indicating uneven distribution of economic benefits across population segments. A spatial analysis further highlights substantial land-use changes around JB-HSR stations, reflecting the potential for future Transit-Oriented Development (TOD). These insights underscore the necessity for integrated spatial planning between central and regional governments, enhancement of local workforce capacities, and the implementation of inclusive investment and social policies to ensure the long-term sustainability and equitable distribution of JB-HSR project benefits.

Keywords

High-speed rail Regional economic Unemployment Investment Difference-in-Differences

Article Details

License
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Authors who publish with this journal agree to the terms:

Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.

Creative Commons License

Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License..

How to Cite
Kusumawati, B., Fauzi, A., Djuanda, B., & Barus, B. (2025). Assessing the Impact of Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Rail Project toward Regional Socioeconomic Conditions: An Difference-in-Differences Analysis. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 23(1), 135–154. https://doi.org/10.29259/jep.v23i1.23363
Download Citation
Endnote/Zotero/Mendeley (RIS)
BibTeX

References

  1. Abe, S., Nakagawa, D., Matsunaka, R., & Oba, T. (2014). Study on the factors to transform underused land focusing on the influence of railway stations in central areas of Japanese Local cities. Land Use Policy, 41, 344–356. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2014.06.021
  2. Banister, D. (2012). Transport and economic development: reviewing the evidence. Transport Reviews, 32(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2011.603283
  3. Blanquart, C., & Koning, M. (2017). The local economic impacts of high-speed railways: theories and facts. European Transport Research Review, 9(2), 12. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12544-017-0233-0
  4. Boto-García, D., Baños-Pino, J. F., & Cazón-Flores, A. (2025). Do new high-speed rail lines stimulate tourism demand in left-behind regions? Current Issues in Tourism, 1–12. https://doi.org/ 10.1080/13683500.2025.2468740
  5. Cai, W., Wu, Z., & Lu, Y. (2022). The Impact of High-Speed Rails on Urban Consumption—From the Perspective of “Local-Adjacent” Effect. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 10(June), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.884965
  6. Cervero, R., & Murakami, J. (2009). Rail and property development in Hong Kong: Experiences and extensions. Urban Studies, 46(10), 2019–2043. https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098009339431
  7. Chen, Z., & Haynes, K. E. (2017). Impact of high-speed rail on regional economic disparity in China. Journal of Transport Geography, 65(December), 80–91. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.jtrangeo.2017.08.003
  8. Dai, X., Liu, Q., Huang, C., & Li, H. (2021). Spatiotemporal variation analysis of the fine-scale heat wave risk along the jakarta-bandung high-speed railway in indonesia. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(22), 12153. https://doi.org/ 10.3390/ijerph182212153
  9. Diemer, A., Iammarino, S., Rodríguez-Pose, A., & Storper, M. (2022). The Regional Development Trap in Europe. Economic Geography, 98(5), 487–509. https://doi.org/10.1080/00130095. 2022.2080655
  10. Edwards, D. B., Caravaca, A., Rappeport, A., & Sperduti, V. R. (2024). World Bank Influence on Policy Formation in Education: A Systematic Review of the Literature. Review of Educational Research, 94(4), 584–622. https://doi.org/10.3102/00346543231194725
  11. Gertler, P. J., Martinez, S., Premand, P., Rawlings, L. B., & Vermeersch, C. M. J. (2016). Impact Evaluation in Practice (Second Edi). World Bank Publications. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-0779-4
  12. Givoni, M. (2006). Development and Impact of the Modern High‐speed Train: A Review. Transport Reviews, 26(5), 593–611. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441640600589319
  13. Givoni, M., & Banister, D. (2012). Speed: the less important element of the High-Speed Train. Journal of Transport Geography, 22(5), 306–107. https:/doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.202012.01.024
  14. Gu, J. (2023). High-Speed Rails and City Innovation System: Empirical Evidence from China. Systems, 11(1), 24. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems11010024
  15. Guirao, B., Campa, J. L., & López-Lambas, M. E. (2016). The Assessment of the HSR Impacts on Spanish Tourism: An Approach Based on Multivariate Panel Data Analysis. Transportation Research Procedia, 18(June), 197–204. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trpro.2016.12.027
  16. Hu, M. yu, & Xu, J. (2022). How Does High-Speed Rail Impact the Industry Structure? Evidence from China. Urban Rail Transit, 8(3–4), 296–317. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40864-022-00175-w
  17. Kurhan, M., Fischer, S., Tiutkin, O., Kurhan, D., & Hmelevska, N. (2024). Development of High-Speed Railway Network in Europe: A Case Study of Ukraine. Periodica Polytechnica Transportation Engineering, 52(2), 151–158. https://doi.org/10.3311/PPtr.23464
  18. Leheis, S. (2012). High-speed train planning in France: Lessons from the Mediterranean TGV-line. Transport Policy, 21(May), 37–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2011.11.004
  19. Li, J., Elahi, E., Cheng, P., Wu, A., Cao, F., Jian, W., Abro, M. I., & Khalid, Z. (2023). The Opening of High-Speed Railway and Coordinated Development of the Core–Periphery Urban Economy in China. Sustainability (Switzerland), 15(5), 4677. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15054677
  20. Li, J., Xue, E., Wei, Y., & He, Y. (2024). How popularising higher education affects economic growth and poverty alleviation: empirical evidence from 38 countries. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 11(1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-024-03013-5
  21. Li, W., Wang, X., & Hilmola, O. P. (2020). Does high-speed railway influence convergence of urban-rural income gap in China? Sustainability (Switzerland), 12(10), 4236. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12104236
  22. Lin, S., Dhakal, P. R., & Wu, Z. (2021). The impact of high-speed railway on china’s regional economic growth based on the perspective of regional heterogeneity of quality of place. Sustainability (Switzerland), 13(9), 4820. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13094820
  23. Mahardika, M. D., Irawan, M. Z., & Bastarianto, F. F. (2022). Exploring the potential demand for Jakarta–Bandung high-speed rail. Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, 15(August), 100658. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2022.100658
  24. Masson, S., & Petiot, R. (2009). Can the high speed rail reinforce tourism attractiveness? The case of the high speed rail between Perpignan (France) and Barcelona (Spain). Technovation, 29(9), 611–617. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.technovation.2009.05.013
  25. Miwa, N., Bhatt, A., Morikawa, S., & Kato, H. (2022). High-Speed rail and the knowledge economy: Evidence from Japan. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 159, 398–416. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2022.01.019
  26. Monzón, A., Pérez, E. O., & Suárez, E. L. (2013). Efficiency and spatial equity impacts of high-speed rail extensions in urban areas. Cities, 30(1), 18–30. http://dx.doi.org/ 10.1016/j.cities.2011.11.002
  27. Moyano, A., & Dobruszkes, F. (2017). Mind the services! High-speed rail cities bypassed by high-speed trains. Case Studies on Transport Policy, 5(4), 537–548. https://doi.org/ 10.1016/j.cstp.2017.07.005
  28. Ou, Y., Zheng, J., Li, S., Chen, K., & Bao, Z. (2025). High-speed rail development and economic performance: A perspective on urban-rural disparities in the treatment and spillover effects. Research in Transportation Business and Management, 59(January), 101287. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rtbm.2025.101287
  29. Pagliara, F., Henke, I., Russo, L., & Guigon, M. (2022). Is High Speed Rail a Geographically Inclusive System? Evidence from some European Countries. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy, 15(2), 241–263. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12061-021-09399-y
  30. Pagliara, F., Mauriello, F., & Garofalo, A. (2017). Exploring the interdependences between High Speed Rail systems and tourism: Some evidence from Italy. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 106, 300–308. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2017.09.022
  31. Perl, A., & Goetz, A. (2015). Getting up to Speed: Assessing Usable Knowledge from Global High-Speed Rail Experience for the United States. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2475(1), 1–7. https://doi.org/10.3141/2475-01
  32. Qian, L. H. (2024). An empirical study on the relationship between urbanization, transportation infrastructure, industrialization and environmental degradation in China, India and Indonesia. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 1–27. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-024-05773-1
  33. Rana, I. A., Bhatti, S. S., & e Saqib, S. (2017). The spatial and temporal dynamics of infrastructure development disparity – From assessment to analyses. Cities, 63(March), 20–32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2016.12.020
  34. Ravallion, M., Galasso, E., Lazo, T., & Philipp, E. (2005). What can ex-participants reveal about a program’s impact? Journal of Human Resources, 40(1), 208–230. http://dx.doi.org/ 2010.2307/4129571
  35. Repolho, H. M., Antunes, A. P., & Church, R. L. (2012). Optimal Location of Railway Stations: The Lisbon-Porto High-Speed Rail Line. Transportation Science, 47(3), 330–343. http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/trsc.1120.0425
  36. Rodrigues, P. G., Pereira, A. M., & Pereira, R. M. (2024). Railroad infrastructure investment and economic performance in Portugal: An industry-specific analysis. Journal of Infrastructure, Policy and Development, 8(2), 1-37. http://dx.doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v8i2.2942
  37. Salim, W., & Faoziyah, U. (2022). The Effect of Transport Infrastructure on Land-use Change: The Case of Toll Road and High-Speed Railway Development in West Java. Journal of Regional and City Planning, 33(1), 48–65. https://doi.org/10.5614/jpwk.2022.33.1.3
  38. Sugimori, S., Hayashi, Y., Takeshita, H., & Isobe, T. (2022). Evaluating the Regional Economic Impacts of High-Speed Rail and Interregional Disparity: A Combined Model of I/O and Spatial Interaction. Sustainability (Switzerland), 14(18), 11545. https://doi.org/10.3390/su141811545
  39. Tveter, E., & Holmgren, J. (2024). Statistical power and productivity effects of transport investments: A critical review. Research in Transportation Economics, 105(March 2023), 101430. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101430
  40. Vickerman, R. (2015). High-speed rail and regional development: the case of intermediate stations. Journal of Transport Geography, 42(January), 157–165. https://doi.org/10.1016/ j.jtrangeo.2014.06.008
  41. Wetwitoo, J., & Kato, H. (2017). High-speed rail and regional economic productivity through agglomeration and network externality: A case study of inter-regional transportation in Japan. Case Studies on Transport Policy, 5(4), 549–559. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cstp.2017.10.008
  42. Ye, C., Zheng, Y., Lin, S., & Zhao, Z. (2022). The Impact of High-Speed Railway Opening on Regional Economic Growth: The Case of the Wuhan–Guangzhou High-Speed Railway Line. Sustainability (Switzerland), 14(18), 11390. https://doi.org/10.3390/su141811390
  43. Yin, M., Bertolini, L., & Duan, J. (2015). The effects of the high-speed railway on urban development: International experience and potential implications for China. Progress in Planning, 98(May), 1–52. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.progress.2013.11.001
  44. Yoshino, N., & Abidhadjaev, U. (2017). Impact of infrastructure on tax revenue: Case study of high-speed train in Japan. Journal of Infrastructure, Policy and Development, 1(2), 129. https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v1i2.69
  45. Zufarihsan, R., Tambusay, A., Suprobo, P., Suryanto, B., & Laghrouche, O. (2025). Recent developments in high-speed railway in Indonesia: Superstructure construction and track infrastructure. Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, 31(May 2024), 101385. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2025.101385